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Get the big picture from a needle in a haystack

From the co-author of Big Data Science in Finance (Wiley, 2021)


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What we offer

Aggressive HFT Index

AHFT sellers dominated AHFT buyers in 10-Year T-Note Futures at 1550 on 20210924

Stop worrying about HFT and get the facts. We identify and track the latest HFT algos. Intraday. Predictive.

Available history: from 2016

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Institutional Investor Activity

Institutional buyers dominated sellers in EWQ at 1600 on 20210924

We reverse-engineer institutional execution algos so you can track and benchmark performance intraday. Predictive.

Available history: from 2017

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Latest Research


Equities with the highest Aggressive HFT participation (average of buy and sell daily AHFT flows) in the U.S. markets as of September 24, 2021:

TW: 41.97%
COWN: 38.14%
IRM: 38.01%

Equities with the highest Institutional Activity (average of buy and sell daily institutional flows) in the U.S. markets as of September 24, 2021:

AMZN: 92.41%
DIS: 91.78%
NET: 91.38%

July 2021

Concentrated Portfolio Implementation with AbleMarkets Institutional Investor Activity (IIA) Index

Abstract: AbleMarkets Institutional Investor Activity (IIA) index provides quant researchers the ability to construct flexible portfolios depending on the mandate:

  • Portfolios based on a large difference in buy vs. sell flows result in concentrated portfolios, minimizing transaction costs.
  • Portfolios based on a small difference in buy vs. sell flows produce diversified portfolios with higher turnover.
  • The IIA index can be used in many ways depending on the target portfolio construction goals. Portfolio performance can be further optimized with intraday execution.
  • Perfect for: portable alpha, currency hedging in a portfolio, hedging of EUR-based positions, risk management of EUR/USD trading or investing, option trading, much more.

May 2021

AbleMarkets Institutional Activity Predicts 5-, 10-, 20 and 60-Day Beta

Abstract: Beta is commonly used in portfolio management, hedging and other risk management, options trading and more. In this paper, we show that market-microstructure derived identification of institutional flows are highly predictive of future beta realizations computed out-of-sample over 5-, 10, 20- and even 60-days ahead. We present the results of the predictability analysis along with a sample use case: a successful market-neutral strategy utilizing the analysis. We find that AbleMarkets institutional activity, both buy and sell, the difference in AbleMarkets Aggressive HFT activity and the security in-sample return are highly predictive of future beta realizations. Prior betas are not predictive of future betas in most cases. The sample risk-neutral portfolio built with AbleMarkets Institutional Activity index and AbleMarkets Aggressive HFT index generates over 50% per annum in all market conditions, including the COVID crash.

May 2021

Case Study: How Daily Flows Impact EUR/USD Prices

Abstract Institutional and Aggressive HFT flows are highly predictive of impending price changes across a range of financial instruments. This study shows the flow predictability of EUR/USD foreign exchange currency pair prices over the last five years. As the study shows:

  • Simple conditional strategies based on daily AHFT and IIA activity for EUR/USD deliver 35%+ annual return and Sharpe of 5+.
  • Simple conditional strategies based on daily institutional participation alone in EUR/USD deliver 22-26% annual return and Sharpe of 4.2-4.6 over the past five years.
  • Simple conditional strategies based on daily AHFT flows alone in EUR/USD deliver 26%+ annual return and Sharpe of 4.7+ over the past five years.
  • All strategies have minimal maximum drawdown of 2%-4% over the five years testing period.
  • Both daily AHFT and Institutional participation are highly predictive of the next day’s prices.
  • Both daily AHFT and Institutional participation are predictive of the next day’s volatility or pip potential, measured as a difference between the daily high and daily low in pips, 1/10000 of the price.
  • Both daily AHFT and Institutional participation are more predictive of the next day’s return than today’s return.
  • Institutional participation is more predictive of tomorrow’s volatility than today’s volatility.
  • All results hold at 99.9% statistical significance.
  • Perfect for:
    • Portable Alpha
    • Currency hedging in a portfolio
    • Hedging of EUR-based positions
    • Risk management of EUR/USD trading or investing
    • Option trading
    • Much more




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